Previsão 3DMAX vs MOUZ — BLAST Bounty 2026 S2

Fatores decisivos

• MOUZ defeated 3DMAX 2-1 in the BO3: 3DMAX won Dust2 13-10, then MOUZ won Nuke 22-18 and Inferno 13-3.
• The thin 56% MOUZ call was appropriate: 3DMAX’s prepared map-path threat was real, but MOUZ had enough baseline quality and late-series recovery to win.
• 3DMAX taking the opener and pushing Nuke deep validates the risk notes; MOUZ’s decisive Inferno prevents this from becoming a model-warning loss.

Notas

Official/primary result check: HLTV lists 3DMAX 1:2 MOUZ on July 30, 2026 at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals, with Dust2 13-10 to 3DMAX, Nuke 22-18 to MOUZ, and Inferno 13-3 to MOUZ. BLAST’s results page also lists 3DMAX 1 - 2 MOUZ. Our pre-match pick MOUZ 56% was correct.

Momentum

Revised down from the first-pass 59% because our own track record now confirms 3DMAX’s current-event punish path: the 3DMAX over FUT pick was correct, and the failed magic pick showed 3DMAX can punish a favored opponent’s map path. MOUZ still retain the stronger baseline and come off clean qualifying wins, but the edge is thinner.

Forma em LAN

Limited current-LAN sample for this Finals stage; recent BLAST form is weighted more heavily than older assumptions. MOUZ get a small structure/class lean, while 3DMAX receive only a temporary current-event upset-path credit, not a permanent upgrade.

Psicologia

MOUZ remain the more reliable structured favorite, but 3DMAX selecting this matchup and already validating upset routes increases the pressure on MOUZ to start cleanly and avoid a messy veto or mid-round series.

Riscos principais

• 3DMAX’s current BLAST Bounty results materially reduce confidence in fading them; they have shown enough map-path punishment to make this a thin MOUZ pick only.
• 3DMAX selected MOUZ, so the underdog side likely sees a prepared style or map lane rather than a random draw.
• MOUZ’s stronger baseline is supported by the FOKUS 2-0 win, but that result mainly downgrades FOKUS’s upset case and does not erase 3DMAX’s confirmed volatility profile.
• If MOUZ’s newer structure stalls in mid-rounds or loses control of a comfort map, 3DMAX have a credible route to flip the series.