Прогноз Liquid vs Vitality — BLAST Bounty 2026 S2

Ключевые факторы

• Liquid upset Vitality 2-0.
• loss_tags: ROSTER_ROLE_MISREAD, STAR_OVERPERFORM, STAGE_VOLATILITY
• Liquid's refreshed firepower was materially stronger than modeled, while Vitality's class/star baseline failed to produce control in an online BO3 opener.

Заметки

Incorrect pick. Final: Liquid 2-0 Vitality. Material update: high-confidence favorite miss; Liquid's new-look roster impact and BLAST Bounty online upset volatility require stronger near-term weighting.

Моментум

Vitality have a clear class, ranking, and star-edge advantage; Liquid's refreshed roster gives upset firepower but not enough confirmed structure yet.

LAN-форма

Online Stage 1; LAN/arena form not used as a primary modifier.

Психология

Liquid selected the top seed, so pressure is asymmetric: Vitality are expected to win, but the model still sees enough class edge to publish a strong favorite pick.

Ключевые риски

• Liquid's new-look firepower with malbsMd, NAF, EliGE and JT can overperform in an online BO3.
• Vitality are a heavy favorite, so any slow start or veto surprise reduces margin quickly.
• Online Stage 1 volatility caps confidence below exceptional range.