Falcons vs HEROIC prediction — IEM Beijing 2026

Key factors

• Falcons won 2-0: Ancient 13-8, Dust2 13-6.
• Falcons defeated HEROIC on HEROIC's Ancient pick before securing their own Dust2 pick.

Notes

The Falcons pick at 52% was correct. Falcons obtained the favorable Dust2 route identified beforehand, while also winning Ancient. One successful own-pick performance does not establish that their previously documented problems are resolved.

Momentum

Falcons survived a three-map match against FaZe after losing to NAVI. HEROIC beat B8 but then lost 0-2 to The MongolZ.

LAN form

Falcons retain the stronger elite-opposition baseline and an individual advantage through m0NESY, but recent defeats and fragile map picks limit confidence.

Psychology

Falcons' captain has publicly identified repeated difficulty winning their own picks. That is a concrete concern in an elimination series, rather than a reason to assume the recovery against FaZe has solved their problems.

Key risks

• Falcons have only a slight edge; this is a low-confidence selection.
• HEROIC's Nuke and Ancient records provide a credible route to winning the series, particularly if Falcons cannot secure Dust2.
• Market pricing favors Falcons much more decisively than this assessment; their recent own-pick struggles make that confidence difficult to share.